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The Journal of Clinical Endocrinology & Metabolism

The Endocrine Society

Preprints posted in the last 7 days, ranked by how well they match The Journal of Clinical Endocrinology & Metabolism's content profile, based on 35 papers previously published here. The average preprint has a 0.06% match score for this journal, so anything above that is already an above-average fit.

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THRB splice site variants lead to exon 4 skipping and TRβ1 gain-of-function syndrome

Hones, G. S.; Liao, X.-H.; Mahler, E. A.; Herrmann, P.; Eckstein, A.; Fuhrer, D.; Castillo, J. M.; Chiang, J.; Vincent, A. L.; Weiss, R. E.; Dumitrescu, A. M.; Refetoff, S.; Moeller, L. C.

2026-04-22 endocrinology 10.64898/2026.04.15.26349265 medRxiv
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BackgroundHeterozygous c.283+1G>A and c.283G>A variants in the THRB gene, encoding for thyroid hormone receptor (TR){beta}1 and {beta}2, lead to autosomal dominant macular dystrophy (ADMD). We report the detailed clinical characterization of two first-degree relatives with ADMD, heterozygous for THRB c.283+1G>A, and an unrelated ADMD patient with a novel variant, c.283G>C. The genomic and molecular consequences of both variants were studied. MethodsgDNA and mRNA were obtained from leukocytes. Clinical characterization included biochemistry, bone density and body composition, ECG, echocardiography, ultrasound, audiometry and color-vision. In vitro assays investigated TR function and DNA binding. ResultsThe patients manifested no resistance to thyroid hormone beta (RTH{beta}) and had normal FT4 and TSH. Detailed studies in two patients showed no goiter, tachycardia, hypercholesterinemia or hepatic steatosis. Hearing was not impaired. Both had impaired color vision and reduced bone density. RT-PCR from all three patients revealed skipping of exon 4 exclusive to TR{beta}1, producing a deletion of 87 amino acids in the N-terminal domain (TR{beta}1{Delta}NTD). In vitro, DNA-binding affinity of TR{beta}1{Delta}NTD to DR4-TRE with or without RXR was comparable to TR{beta}1WT. Surprisingly, TR{beta}1{Delta}NTD was transcriptionally twice more active than TR{beta}1WT with a similar EC50 for T3, demonstrating gain-of-function of TR{beta}1{Delta}NTD. THRA expression in leukocytes was increased by 3-fold compared to unrelated controls and different from RTH{beta} patients. ConclusionThese THRB splice site variants produce TR{beta}1 exon 4 skipping, resulting in a gain-of-function mutant, TR{beta}1{Delta}NTD. This explains the dominant ADMD phenotype devoid of RTH{beta} and suggests a TR{beta}1 gain-of-function syndrome.

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Menopause in the All of Us Research Program: A Descriptive Summary of Electronic Health Record and Survey Response across Sociodemographic Characteristics

Staples, J. W.; White, S. L.; Giacalone, A.; Pozdeyev, N.; Sammel, M. D.; Stranger, B. E.; Valencia, C. I.; Santoro, N.; Hendricks, A. E.

2026-04-25 sexual and reproductive health 10.64898/2026.04.17.26351129 medRxiv
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Objective. Menopause is a significant physiological transition with implications for health outcomes (e.g., cardiometabolic), yet gaps remain in understanding the menopause transition, including how menopause timing and type influence health outcomes. Large-scale cohort studies in midlife (age~40-60) females, including the All of Us Research Program (AoURP), provide opportunities to study menopause across diverse populations and data modalities. We characterized menopause-related data in AoURP, focusing on age distributions and concordance between EHR diagnosis codes and self-reported survey responses. Methods. We analyzed menopause-related survey, EHR diagnostic code, and genomic data among ~396,000 participants in AoURP with female sex. We summarized menopause data across modalities, overlap between survey, EHR, and genomic data, and age distributions overall and across sociodemographic characteristics. Results. Among ~396,000 females, surveys captured ~193,000 menopause observations, nearly seven times more than structured EHR diagnoses (~28,000), suggesting under- ascertainement in EHR data. Nearly all females (~99%) with an EHR menopause diagnosis also reported menopause in the survey. Approximately 22,000 participants had intersected EHR, survey, and genomic menopause-related data. Survey-based age patterns matched expectations, with participants <40 years predominantly reporting pre-menopausal status and those >60 years predominantly reporting post-menopausal status. A small subset (N{approx}1,700; 4%) (age>70 years) reported no menopause, suggesting response or recall bias. EHR menopause codes were concentrated after age>45 years, with a notable spike at age 65. Modest differences in survey-based menopause age distributions were observed by sociodemographic characteristics (e.g., race, ancestry). Conclusions. These findings inform sampling strategies, power calculations, phenotype definition, and study design for menopause research using AoURP.

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CGM glycemic persistence reflects OGTT dysglycemia

Zhang, R.

2026-04-23 endocrinology 10.64898/2026.04.22.26351476 medRxiv
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Aims The oral glucose tolerance test (OGTT) is effective for detecting post-load dysglycemia, but it is burdensome and therefore not routinely used. Continuous glucose monitoring (CGM) offers a convenient way to capture real-world glucose patterns, yet it remains unclear whether CGM-derived metrics reflect OGTT-defined dysglycemia. We therefore aimed to evaluate CGM-derived and clinical metrics for predicting OGTT 2-hour glucose, classifying OGTT-defined dysglycemia, and assessing day-to-day repeatability. Methods We analyzed a cohort with paired free-living CGM and OGTT. Multiple CGM-derived metrics and clinical measures were compared for prediction of OGTT 2-hour glucose, classification of OGTT-defined dysglycemia, and day-to-day stability. Predictive performance was assessed primarily by leave-one-out (LOO) R^2, and day-to-day repeatability by intraclass correlation coefficients (ICC). Results The glycemic persistence index (GPI), a metric integrating the magnitude and duration of glycemic elevation, was the strongest single predictor of OGTT 2-hour glucose (LOO R^2 = 0.439). GPI also showed strong day-to-day repeatability (ICC = 0.665) and ranked first on a combined prediction-stability score. For classification of OGTT-defined dysglycemia, HbA1c had a slightly higher AUC than GPI, but GPI plus HbA1c performed best overall, indicating complementary information. Conclusions GPI was a strong predictor of OGTT 2-hour glucose and showed a favorable balance between predictive performance and day-to-day stability, supporting its potential utility as a CGM-derived marker of dysglycemia.

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Diminished sex hormone levels influence the risk of skewed X chromosome inactivation

Roberts, A. L.; Osterdahl, M. F.; Sahoo, A.; Pickles, J.; Franklin-Cheung, C.; Wadge, S.; Mohamoud, N. A.; Morea, A.; Amar, A.; Morris, D. L.; Vyse, T. J.; Steves, C. J.; Small, K. S.

2026-04-22 genetic and genomic medicine 10.64898/2026.04.20.26351303 medRxiv
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BackgroundX chromosome inactivation (XCI) is the mechanism which randomly silences one X chromosome to equalise gene expression between 46, XX females and 46, XY males. Though XCI is expected to result in a random pattern of mosaicism across tissues, some females display a significantly unbalanced ratio in immune cells, termed XCI-skew, in which [&ge;]75% of cells have the same X inactivated. XCI-skew is associated with adverse health outcomes and its prevalence increases with age - particularly after midlife - yet the specific risk factors have yet to be identified. The menopausal transition, which is driven by profound shifts in sex hormone levels, has significant impact on chronic disease risk yet the molecular and cellular effects are incompletely understood. We hypothesised that the menopausal transition may impact XCI-skew. MethodsUsing XCI data measured in blood-derived DNA from 1,395 females from the TwinsUK population cohort, along with questionnaires, genetic data, and sex hormone measures, we carried out a cross-sectional study to assess the impact of the menopausal transition and sex hormones on XCI-skew. ResultsWe demonstrate that early menopause (<45yrs) is associated with increased risk of XCI-skew. In subset analyses across those who had a surgically induced or natural menopause, we find the association restricted to those who underwent a surgical menopause. We next identify a low polygenic score (PGS) for testosterone levels is significantly associated with XCI-skew, which we replicate in an independent dataset (n=149), while a PGS for age at natural menopause is not associated. Finally, using longitudinal measures across two time points spanning [~]18 years we show XCI-skew is a stable cellular phenotype that typically increases over time. DiscussionThese data represent the first environmental and genetic risk factors of XCI-skew, both of which implicate endogenous sex hormone levels, particularly testosterone. We propose XCI-skew may have clinical relevance in postmenopausal females.

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Neuron-Enriched Extracellular Vesicle MicroRNAs Reflect Hormone-Sensitive Neural Pathway Changes from Early to Late Perimenopause

Frye, R. L.; Lapato, D.; Sikes-Keilp, C.; Pinkerton, J.; Payne, J.; Yakovlev, V.; Roberson-Nay, R.

2026-04-27 sexual and reproductive health 10.64898/2026.04.24.26351678 medRxiv
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The menopausal transition represents a major neuroendocrine shift marked by declining estradiol and progesterone, rising follicle-stimulating hormone, and increased vulnerability to cognitive and affective symptoms. Despite extensive evidence of hormone-related neural changes, few biomarkers directly index hormone-sensitive neuronal adaptations in vivo. Neuron-enriched extracellular vesicles (nEVs) isolated from blood provide a minimally invasive window into central nervous system (CNS) biology by carrying microRNAs (miRNAs) linked to neuronal regulatory processes. This pilot study tested whether L1 cell adhesion molecule (L1CAM)-positive nEV miRNA profiles differ between early (STRAW stage - 2; n = 22) and late (STRAW stage - 1; n = 24) perimenopause. A pooled discovery screen of 179 miRNAs identified 10 candidates with substantial fold-change differences between groups; these were then quantified at the individual level using qPCR. Linear mixed-effects models showed a significant main effect of STRAW stage, with late perimenopause associated with higher {Delta}Cq values (lower overall expression) across the miRNA panel. The miRNA x STRAW stage interaction was not significant, indicating a coordinated shift across the measured miRNAs rather than miRNA-specific regulation. No evidence of an association between nEV miRNA expression and current estradiol levels or menopausal symptom severity was observed. Bioinformatic analysis of predicted mRNA targets identified significant enrichment of the gonadotropin-releasing hormone (GnRH) receptor pathway, along with related growth factor, immune, and intracellular signaling pathways, with preferential expression in brain-relevant tissues. These findings are consistent with stage-related differences in hormone-sensitive neuronal regulatory processes across the transition.

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A Cross-Cohort Validated Plasma Lipid Biomarker Assay for Early Breast Cancer Detection Using Machine Learning

Huang, T.; Koch, F. C.; Peake, D. A.; Adam, K.-P.; David, M.; Li, D.; Heffernan, K.; Lim, A.; Hurrell, J. G.; Preston, S.; Baterseh, A.; Vafaee, F.

2026-04-23 oncology 10.64898/2026.04.23.26351564 medRxiv
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Early detection of breast cancer remains essential for improving clinical outcomes, and complementary non-invasive approaches are needed to support existing screening methods, particularly for women with dense breast tissue. We have previously reported plasma lipid biomarker discovery using untargeted high-resolution liquid chromatography tandem mass spectrometry (LC-MS/MS). In this study, we performed biomarker confirmation and developed machine-learning models applied to targeted plasma lipid measurements for the non-invasive detection of early-stage breast cancer across international cohorts with independent external validation. Targeted LC-MS/MS was used to quantify candidate lipid panels in plasma samples from European discovery cohorts (n = 554) and an independent Australian cohort (n = 266) used for external validation. Data-driven feature selection identified a 15-lipid panel with strong performance in European cohorts (AUC >= 0.94). External validation prior to confidence stratification yielded 76% sensitivity, 64% specificity, and an AUC of 0.81 in the Australian validation cohort. Clinical assay development requires iterative panel and model testing to support translational feasibility and performance in the intended-use population. An analytically viable panel, excluding lipids requiring complex and costly synthesis, achieved comparable accuracy with improved assay robustness. Confidence-based analysis showed enhanced performance for predictions made with moderate to high confidence, with sensitivity up to 89% and AUC up to 0.85, suggesting that ongoing research should focus on strategies to enhance diagnostic model confidence. Importantly, model predictions were independent of breast density, tumour size, grade, subtype, and morphology, indicating biological specificity of the lipid signature. These results demonstrate that calibrated machine-learning models applied to plasma lipid biomarkers can support non-invasive breast cancer detection. Expanding training datasets to include greater diversity will further improve performance in the ongoing development of this lipid-based detection approach.

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Non-invasive glucose monitoring vs iCGM: a systematic review and meta-analysis of accuracy and methodological challenges

Zhang, H.; Dromard, E.; Tsang, K. C. H.; Guemes, A.; Guo, Z.; Baldeweg, S. E.; Li, K.

2026-04-27 endocrinology 10.64898/2026.04.24.26351680 medRxiv
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Non-invasive glucose monitoring (NIGM) has been pursued for decades, yet no device has achieved regulatory approval despite numerous studies reporting high accuracy. This systematic review and meta-analysis of 32 studies (38 cohorts: 20 NIGM, 18 iCGM; N = 1,693) investigated methodological factors underlying this accuracy-regulatory gap. The pooled Mean Absolute Relative Difference (MARD) for NIGM (10.21%; 95% CI: 8.73-11.69%) showed no significant difference from iCGM (11.82%; 95% CI: 10.36-13.29%; p = 0.13), with extreme heterogeneity (I^2 = 95.2%). Meta-regression revealed that study duration was the strongest predictor of NIGM accuracy ({beta} = 3.94, p < 0.001), with MARD degrading from 8.7% in short-term to 15.2% in long-term studies, while iCGM accuracy remained stable. Only 15% of NIGM cohorts validated in the hypoglycemia range, compared to 89% of iCGM studies (p < 0.001). These findings suggest that reported NIGM accuracy is substantially influenced by methodological asymmetries.

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A systematic review and meta-analysis of the efficacy and safety of pharmacological treatments for obesity in adults: 2026 Update

Ciudin Mihai, A.; Baker, J. L.; Belancic, A.; Busetto, L.; Dicker, D.; Fabryova, L.; Fruhbeck, G.; Goossens, G. H.; Gordon, J.; Monami, M.; Sbraccia, P.; Martinez Tellez, B.; Yumuk, V.; McGowan, B.

2026-04-24 endocrinology 10.64898/2026.04.19.26351196 medRxiv
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This updated systematic review and network meta-analysis evaluated the efficacy and safety of obesity management medications (OMMs) in terms of reducing body weight and obesity related complications. Medline and Embase were searched up to 21 November 2025 for randomized controlled trials comparing OMMs versus placebo or active comparators in adults. The primary endpoint was percentage total body weight loss (TBWL%) at the end of the study. Secondary endpoints were TBWL% at 1, 2 and 3 years, anthropometric, metabolic, mental health and quality of life outcomes, cardiovascular morbidity and mortality, remission of obesity related complications, serious adverse events and all cause mortality. Sixty six RCTs (66 comparisons) were identified: orlistat (22), semaglutide (18), liraglutide (11), tirzepatide (8), naltrexone/bupropion (5) and phentermine/topiramate (2), enrolling 63,909 patients (34,861 and 29,048 with active compound and placebo, respectively). All OMMs showed significantly greater TBWL% versus placebo; tirzepatide and semaglutide exceeded 10% TBWL and showed the most favourable glycaemic effects. Semaglutide reduced major adverse cardiovascular events and all cause mortality. In dedicated complication specific trials, semaglutide and tirzepatide showed benefit on heart failure related outcomes; tirzepatide was associated with improved obstructive sleep apnoea syndrome and semaglutide with knee osteoarthritis pain remission. Tirzepatide and semaglutide were associated with improvements in metabolic dysfunction-associated steatohepatitis remission, and semaglutide with improvement in liver fibrosis. No OMMs were associated with an increased risk of serious adverse events. These updated results reinforce the need to individualize OMMs selection according to weight loss efficacy, complication profile and safety.

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Genetic liability to metabolic dysfunction modelled in early adulthood predicts cardiometabolic risk across the life course in Asian populations

Pan, H.; Wang, D.

2026-04-27 genetic and genomic medicine 10.64898/2026.04.24.26351660 medRxiv
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Abstract Background: Cardiometabolic diseases arise from metabolic dysfunction that develops decades before clinical onset. Conventional genetic risk models are typically derived in middle-aged or older populations, where genetic effects are confounded by cumulative environmental exposures, chronic comorbidities, and clinical interventions. Whether the life stage at which genetic liability is modelled influences the biological signal captured by polygenic scores remains unclear, particularly in underrepresented populations. We therefore tested whether genetic liability modelled in early adulthood, a period of relative physiological stability, is associated with cardiometabolic risk across the life course in Asian populations. Methods: We developed a polygenic score for metabolic syndrome, GenMetS, using data from 1,368 Singaporean women aged 18-45 years. The model integrates 15 established polygenic scores for metabolic traits and applies elastic-net penalized regression to optimize variant weights. GenMetS was evaluated in five cohorts comprising 670,952 individuals aged 0-94 years across population-based and disease-enriched settings, including Asian and European ancestry groups. Associations with metabolic traits, cardiometabolic diseases, multimorbidity, and early-life growth patterns were assessed. Results: In Asian populations, GenMetS explained 5.0-12.4% of the variance in metabolic syndrome in adults and 10.3% in children, with negligible performance in European populations (R squared < 0.001). Higher GenMetS was associated with increased odds of cardiometabolic diseases, including type 2 diabetes, heart failure, and stroke (odds ratios 1.32-1.52 per standard deviation). In UK Biobank participants of Asian ancestry, GenMetS improved discrimination of cardiometabolic multimorbidity beyond age alone. Associations were consistent across sexes. In children, higher GenMetS was associated with obesogenic growth trajectories and increased abdominal adiposity. Conclusions: Genetic liability to metabolic dysfunction modelled in early adulthood captures a stable biological signal associated with metabolic traits, disease risk, and multimorbidity from childhood to adulthood in Asian populations. These findings indicate that the life stage of model derivation shapes the biological signal captured by polygenic scores and support the development of life-stage and ancestry-informed approaches for cardiometabolic risk assessment and prevention.

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Metabolomic Profiling of Dried Blood Spots for Breast Cancer Detection: A Multi-Classifier Validation Study in 2,734 Participants

Anctil, N.; Hauguel, P.; Noel, L.-P.

2026-04-27 oncology 10.64898/2026.04.24.26351695 medRxiv
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Background. Breast cancer (BC) remains the most diagnosed malignancy and leading cancer-related cause of mortality in women worldwide. Although blood-based untargeted metabolomics has emerged as a promising modality for detecting early-stage BC, the clinical translation of this approach has been bottlenecked by two unresolved issues: (i) the field has almost exclusively relied on serum or plasma, which require venipuncture and cold-chain logistics, and (ii) machine-learning models reported on such data are frequently validated with protocols that are blind to analytical batch structure, producing optimistically biased performance estimates. Methods. We present a breast cancer detection study based on dried blood spots (DBS), an analytical matrix that enables self-collection and ambient-temperature shipping. A cohort of 2,734 participants (114 biopsy-confirmed BC cases; 2,620 non-cancer controls) was profiled by untargeted LC-MS/MS on a Thermo Scientific Orbitrap IQ-X coupled to a Vanquish UHPLC. A 39-metabolite panel meeting MSI Level 1 identification criteria was pre-specified a priori from the published breast-cancer metabolomics literature, frozen prior to LC-MS acquisition, and applied to the present cohort without any feature selection on the data. Six standard supervised-learning architectures (LASSO, Elastic Net, Linear SVM, PLS-DA, OPLS-DA, XGBoost) were evaluated on this pre-specified panel; OPLS-DA is reported only in the sex-matched subgroup analysis where a single-seed 5-fold stratified protocol permits a directly comparable fit. Per-batch control-median normalization is applied upstream; kNN imputation, log transform, and robust scaling are fit within each training fold. The evaluation battery comprises batch-aware StratifiedGroupKFold CV at single-seed (seed=42) with inter-seed SD quantified across 10 independent seeds, batch-aware nested CV, a 100-seed held-out 20%-batch validation with disjoint-batch isotonic probability calibration (30% calibration partition), PPV/NPV reporting at multiple operating points and three deployment prevalences, subgroup analyses by TNM stage and tumor grade, pathway-ablation sensitivity analysis, and a 1,000-iteration permutation test. Results. Under batch-aware evaluation (StratifiedGroupKFold, single-seed=42), AUC ranged from 0.914 to 0.949 across classifiers, with LASSO achieving 0.928 and XGBoost 0.949; inter-seed SD across 10 seeds was 0.002-0.006. At 95% specificity, LASSO reached 75.4% sensitivity and XGBoost 81.6%. Held-out batch validation (100 seeds) yielded mean AUC 0.912 for Elastic Net and 0.935 for XGBoost, confirming robust generalization. All 39 panel features showed high coefficient stability, and permutation testing on representative classifiers (LASSO, Linear SVM, PLS-DA) yielded p <= 0.001. Subgroup analyses showed weaker detection of stage IIA tumors (AUC 0.87, n=40) compared with stage IIB/IIIA (AUC 0.95), consistent with stronger metabolic signatures in more advanced disease. Bootstrap coefficient consistency of the Elastic Net classifier confirmed that all 39 panel features received a non-zero multivariate weight in >=80% of 100 stratified bootstraps. Conclusions. On this cohort of diagnosed, pre-treatment breast-cancer cases, DBS LC-MS metabolomic profiling delivers classification performance (AUC 0.928 for LASSO and 0.949 for XGBoost under batch-aware GroupKFold CV at single-seed=42; held-out AUC 0.912-0.935) that is robust across classifier families and biological pathways. The DBS matrix is non-radiating, self-collectable by finger-prick, and mailable at ambient temperature. Performance is weaker on stage IIA than on more advanced disease, and prospective validation in an independent asymptomatic screening cohort is required before clinical positioning as a decentralized triage modality.

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Preconception metabolic-bariatric surgery and child health outcomes: Identification and cohort profile of the POSIT study protocol

Purnell, J. Q.; Getahun, D.; Vesco, K. K.; Qiu, S.; Shi, J. M.; Wong, C. P.; Koppolu, P.; Im, T. M.; Oshiro, C. E.; Boone-Heinonen, J.

2026-04-24 obstetrics and gynecology 10.64898/2026.04.22.26351521 medRxiv
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Preconception weight loss by metabolic-bariatric surgery (MBS) improves maternal-fetal outcomes, but little is known about its impact on offspring growth and health. The preconception bariatric surgery and child health outcomes (POSIT) study aims to estimate the effects of maternal MBS-induced preconception weight loss on infant and childhood body size, growth, and related outcomes. This report presents the methods used to construct the POSIT cohort and its baseline characteristics. This retrospective cohort study sampled members from a United States healthcare system aged 18 and older with a singleton, live birth to create three study groups: 1) a treatment group including women who underwent preconception MBS and subsequently became pregnant (n=1,374); 2) a control group matched to the MBS pre-surgery body mass index (BMI) (pre-surgery controls, n=13,740); and 3) a second control group matched to the MBS post-surgical, pre-pregnancy BMI (pre-pregnancy controls, n=13,740). MBS and pre-surgery BMI controls showed slight imbalances in that pre-surgery BMI controls were on average ~6 months younger, had 0.6 lower BMI (44.5 kg/m2) at the time of their pregnancy and were more likely to have become pregnant in earlier years than the MBS group prior to surgery. MBS and pre-pregnancy controls had comparable age (mean {+/-} SD 33 {+/-} 5 years), pre-pregnancy BMI (33 {+/-} 6 kg/m2), and year of delivery. Following matching, the MBS group had similar socioeconomic and health disparities as the pre-surgery control group, and both were worse than pre-pregnancy control group. Pregestational maternal comorbidity index improved after MBS and matched the pre-pregnancy controls. Upon extraction of offspring growth patterns and mediation analyses of maternal weight loss and metabolic responses to MBS, study findings will investigate effects of preconception weight loss by MBS on short- and long-term child health outcomes. Results will guide future studies focusing on improving maternal preconception weight and maternal-fetal outcomes.

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Longitudinal Central Adiposity Accumulation is Associated with Cortical Alteration and Impaired Cognitive Function in Adolescents

Zhang, L.; Qiu, B.; Chen, Z.; Xu, X.; Zhao, R.; Chen, Y.; Ning, C.; Chen, R.; Li, M.; Wang, D.; Fu, J.; Wu, D.

2026-04-23 endocrinology 10.64898/2026.04.22.26351453 medRxiv
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Childhood obesity remains a pressing global health challenge, yet the impact of dynamic adiposity changes during active developmental window retains poorly understood. Leveraging longitudinal data from the Adolescent Brain Cognitive Development (ABCD) Study (N=8519 at baseline; N=1873 at 4-year follow-up), our study reveals distinct neurodevelopmental implications of central fat dynamics during adolescence. At baseline, central fat indices (body roundness index, BRI / waist-to-height ratio, WHtR) outperformed BMI in predicting cognitive deficits, showing robust associations with impaired inhibitory control and episodic memory. The prediction effect was partially mediated by cortical changes in prefrontal and temporal regions. Longitudinally, the rate of fat accumulation ({Delta}) emerged as a critical predictor: faster adiposity accrual predicted attenuated cortical thinning (i.e., slower development) in parietal lobes and poorer executive function at follow-up, while baseline adiposity showed no significant effects on the follow-up brain morphology or cognitive development. Notably, subgroup analyses uncovered that obese adolescents with central fat reduction exhibited accelerated cortical thinning in posterior cingulate (change difference p=0.006-0.029) alongside rapid improvement in inhibitory control (Flanker slope difference p<0.05), whereas those with persistent adiposity showed delayed thinning in the postcentral gyrus. The study reveals that central fat (BRI/WHtR) is closely linked to neurocognitive risks, and longitudinal fat accumulation?rather than baseline adiposity?drives cortical alteration. Notably, fat reduction activated adaptive neural change in obese adolescents, underscoring the importance of weigh regulation during neurodevelopment.

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Semaglutide is associated with improved breast cancer survival, lower metastatic burden, and a dose-survival relationship uncoupled from weight-loss magnitude

Murugadoss, K.; Venkatakrishnan, A. J.; Soundararajan, V.

2026-04-24 oncology 10.64898/2026.04.23.26351609 medRxiv
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Metabolic dysfunction is increasingly recognized as a risk factor for poor outcomes in breast cancer, but whether incretin-based therapies confer survival benefit beyond weight loss remains unresolved. Using a federated electronic health record platform spanning nearly 29 million patients, we evaluated breast cancer survival after semaglutide and tirzepatide initiation in routine care. In 1:1 propensity-matched pooled-comparator analyses, semaglutide was associated with improved overall survival versus metformin, sodium-glucose cotransporter 2 (SGLT2) inhibitor, and dipeptidyl peptidase 4 (DPP4) inhibitor users, with 54 deaths among 2,433 semaglutide users (2.2%) versus 395 deaths among 2,433 comparators (16.2%) over 24 months (log-rank P < 0.001). Tirzepatide showed a favorable survival association relative to pooled anti-diabetic comparators that did not meet statistical significance (P = 0.24), with 3 deaths among 220 users (1.4%) versus 64 deaths among 220 comparators (29.1%). In a head-to-head propensity-score-matched comparison, overall survival did not differ significantly between semaglutide and tirzepatide treated patients with pre-existing breast cancer (2,117 per arm; P = 0.12). In semaglutide-treated patients alive and observable at the 1-year landmark, higher maximum dose achieved was significantly associated with lower post-landmark mortality (P = 0.034), with an event rate of approximately 1.0% in the high-dose group (>=1.7 mg) versus approximately 4.5% in the low-dose group (0.25-1.0 mg). Despite a linear dose weight loss relationship for semaglutide, however, weight loss strata did not separate survival outcomes (global P = 0.22). In tirzepatide-treated patients alive and observable at the same landmark, neither maximum dose achieved nor weight loss strata separated post-landmark survival (P = 0.98 and P = 0.50, respectively). Structured EHR and AI-based clinical note analyses further showed significantly lower frequency of documented metastatic disease in semaglutide-treated patients relative to pooled anti-diabetic comparators, including any metastasis (7.0% versus 15.0%, rate ratio 0.5, P < 0.001), bone metastasis (1.0% versus 5.2%, rate ratio 0.2, P < 0.001), and liver, lung, or brain metastases (all P < 0.001). LLM-derived cause-of-death extraction further showed a 60% lower relative proportion of cancer-associated deaths in semaglutide-treated patients (19% of ascertainable deaths) than in matched pooled anti-diabetic comparators (47% of ascertainable deaths), with comparator deaths more often attributed to cancer progression involving metastatic breast cancer, leptomeningeal carcinomatosis, and cancer-driven organ failure. Overall, this study demonstrates that semaglutide use in patients with pre-existing breast cancer is associated with a dose correlated but weight loss independent improvement in overall survival. These findings motivate prospective trials of GLP-1 receptor agonists in breast cancer across various stages and treatment settings.

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Legacy neuropsychiatric benefit after semaglutide is linked to maximum achieved dose and independent of the maximum weight lost

murugadoss, k.; Venkatakrishnan, A.; Soundararajan, V.

2026-04-23 endocrinology 10.64898/2026.04.16.26351060 medRxiv
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GLP-1 receptor agonists have reshaped obesity therapeutics, but their impact on neuropsychiatric outcomes remains poorly characterized. From 29 million patients in a large federated data platform across the USA, including 489,785 semaglutide treated patients, we conducted an observational study integrating longitudinal neuropsychiatric outcomes. From this population, we assembled a cohort of 63,215 patients with baseline neuropsychiatric conditions before treatment initiation and evaluated 24 incident neuropsychiatric outcomes. In propensity-matched comparator analyses, during the 2 year time-period from treatment initiation, semaglutide was associated with broadly lower neuropsychiatric event risk than metformin, SGLT2 inhibitors, and DPP-4 inhibitors. Within the semaglutide-treated cohort, higher attained dose during the first two years after the first prescription ("pre-landmark period") was associated with significantly lower incidence during the following two years ("post-landmark period") of diagnostic codes associated with substance-related disorders (P<0.001), mood disorders (P<0.001), anxiety- and stress-related disorders (P<0.001), CNS atrophies (P<0.001), neuromuscular disorders (P=0.013), eating/sleep/behavioral disorders (P=0.022), and personality/impulse-control disorders (P=0.028). Consistent with previous clinical trials, the post-landmark incidence of dementia or CNS degenerative diseases was similar between the high-dose and low-dose semaglutide cohorts (P=0.15). For most neuropsychiatric diagnoses, post-landmark incidence was strongly associated with the maximum attained semaglutide dose during the pre-landmark period, but incident cognitive symptoms and speech/language symptoms were more closely linked to the pre-landmark weight-loss magnitude (p<0.001 and p<0.003, respectively). Bulk and single-cell transcriptomic analyses demonstrated GLP1R expression in CNS tissues (hypothalamus, caudate, putamen, nucleus accumbens, cerebellum) and peripheral nerves. Age-associated heterogeneity in GLP1R expression was evident in several of these compartments including the caudate nucleus, suggesting dynamic changes in the availability of the neurobiological substrate for semaglutide response. Together, these data support a model in which semaglutide confers a sustained, dose-dependent, weight loss-independent benefit across multiple neuropsychiatric conditions via direct CNS target engagement. This observational study motivates prospective clinical studies and mechanistic analyses to clarify the impact of GLP-1 receptor agonists on human neuropsychiatric pathways and disease processes.

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Multi-omic signatures of genetic mechanisms inform on type 2 diabetes biology and patient heterogeneity

Sevilla-Gonzalez, M.; Martinez-Munoz, A. M.; Hanson, P. A.; Hsu, S.; Wang, X.; Smith, K.; Chen, Z.-Z.; Szczerbinski, L.; Kaur, V.; Taylor, K. D.; Wood, A. C.; Mi, M. Y.; Li, H.; Wittenbecher, C.; Gerszten, R. E.; Rich, S.; Rotter, J.; Li, J.; Mercader, J. M.; Manning, A. K.; Shah, R. V. K.; Udler, M.

2026-04-25 endocrinology 10.64898/2026.04.17.26351136 medRxiv
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Type 2 diabetes (T2D) is a heterogeneous disease shaped by genetic pathways related to insulin resistance and beta cell dysfunction, but how this heterogeneity is reflected molecularly remains unclear. We integrated partitioned polygenic scores (pPS) with proteomic and metabolomic profiling to define molecular signatures of T2D and their clinical relevance. We analyzed UK Biobank participants with genomic, proteomic, and metabolomic data. In a disease-free training subset, we used LASSO regression to identify multi-omic signatures associated with each pPS by jointly modeling proteins and metabolites. In an independent testing set, we constructed multi-omic scores and examined their associations with clinical traits and diabetes-related outcomes. Mediation analyses were used to investigate putative causal pathways. Key findings were evaluated in the Multi-Ethnic Study of Atherosclerosis (MESA). We identified distinct multi-omic signatures that capture the molecular architecture of T2D genetic risk across physiological subtypes. Compared with genetic scores alone, multi-omic pPS showed larger effect sizes and better disease discrimination. These scores recapitulated subtype-specific physiology and were associated with T2D risk. The Beta-Cell 2 multi-omic score showed marked stratification for insulin use, which was replicated in MESA, where it also predicted future insulin use. Mediation analyses implicated lipoprotein remodeling and fatty acid metabolism in the Lipodystrophy 1 cluster, accounting for up to 45% of the total effect of pPS on T2D risk. Integrating process-specific genetic risk with circulating multi-omic profiles reveals biologically distinct endotypes of T2D and supports a framework for improved patient stratification and risk assessment.

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Estimation of cancer cases in transgender and gender diverse people in England

Pasin, C.; Jackson, S. S.; Thynne, L.-E.; McWade, B.; Westerman, T.; Ball, R.; Kavanagh, J.; O'Callaghan, S.; Ring, K.; Orkin, C.; Berner, A. M.

2026-04-22 oncology 10.64898/2026.04.21.26351378 medRxiv
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ObjectivesTo estimate current, and 5- and 10-year projected, number of cases of cancer per year in transgender and gender diverse (TGD) people in England, overall and by tumour type, accounting for uptake of gender affirming care (GAC). DesignPopulation-based epidemiological modelling study using an age-stratified Monte Carlo simulations approach and the NORDPRED method for predictions. SettingModels estimating cancer case numbers for TGD people in England based on publicly available 2023 cancer surveillance data and survey-based 2025 GAC access, and predicted at 5 and 10 years hence. ParticipantsTGD people aged 15 years and above. Main outcome measuresPrimary cancer cases per year overall, by gender, age group, tumour type, and current and planned GAC. ResultsThe estimated TGD population size in England is 441547 (95% uncertainty interval (UI) 429207- 452890). Total cases per year of cancer in TGD people is expected to be 966 (95% UI 882-1069) excluding non-melanoma skin. Most cases are expected to occur in people aged 60-64. The top 5 expected cancers in TGD people are breast (19%, n = 187, 95% UI 149-241), colorectal (12%, n = 117, 95% UI 106-129), lung (11%, n = 108, 95% UI 96-122), melanoma (7.1%, n = 69, 95% UI 64-74) and urinary (6.2%, n = 60, 95% UI 54-67). Total cases of cancer in TGD people are estimated to be 1740 (95% UI 1584-1934) in 5 years and 2258 (95% UI 2066-2507) in 10 years (excluding non-melanoma skin). If TGD people were able to access their planned level of GAC, this would reduce these figures to 1555 (95% CI 1386-1766) and 2012 (95% CI 1797-2282) respectively. ConclusionsThis study provides prediction of cancer cases in TGD people in England, supporting the planning of service provision and training. This is vital, as with increasing disclosure, and long wait times for GAC, cancer cases in TGD people are predicted to increase. Summary BoxesO_ST_ABSWhat is already known on this topicC_ST_ABSThe annual number of cases of cancer in transgender and gender diverse (TGD) people in England is currently unknown as gender incongruence is not collected as part of the National Cancer Registration and Analysis Service. Some gender-affirming care (GAC) interventions are known to modulate cancer risk. Use of testosterone and chest reconstruction for transmasculine people is known to reduce their incidence of breast cancer compared to cisgender women. Use of oestradiol alongside medical or surgical androgen suppression has been shown to reduce the incidence of prostate cancer in transfeminine people while increasing their risk of breast cancer, compared to cisgender men. What this study addsThis study found that there are likely to be approximately 966 cases of cancer (excluding non-melanoma skin) in TGD people per year in the UK. Though total annual cases of cancer in TGD people are expected to be 2258 in 10 years, improved access to gender-affirming care could reduce total cases to 2012 (a 11% reduction). These figures provide additional justification for funding to improve access to GAC via the National Health Service (NHS), as well as for training on the oncological needs of this population.

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Racioethnic Disparities in Risk of Cardiometabolic Risk Factors and Cardiovascular Disease among Women Treated for Breast Cancer: The Pathways Heart Study

Yao, S.; Zimbalist, A.; Sheng, H.; Fiorica, P.; Cheng, R.; Medicino, L.; Omilian, A.; Zhu, Q.; Roh, J.; Laurent, C.; Lee, V.; Ergas, I.; Iribarren, C.; Rana, J.; Nguyen-Huynh, M.; Rillamas-Sun, E.; Hershman, D.; Ambrosone, C.; Kushi, L.; Greenlee, H.; Kwan, M.

2026-04-24 epidemiology 10.64898/2026.04.23.26351612 medRxiv
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Background: Few studies have examined racioethnic disparities in cardiovascular disease (CVD) in women after breast cancer treatment, who are at higher risk due to cardiotoxic cancer treatment. Methods: Based on the Pathways Heart Study of women with a history of breast cancer, this analysis examines the association between cardiometabolic risk factors (hypertension, diabetes, and dyslipidemia) and CVD events with self-reported race and ethnicity, as well as genetic similarity. Multivariable logistic and Cox proportional hazards regression models were used to test race and ethnicity and genetic similarity with prevalent and incident cardiometabolic risk factors and CVD events. Results: Of the 4,071 patients in this analysis, non-Hispanic Black (NHB), Asian, and Hispanic women were more likely to have prevalent and incident diabetes than non-Hispanic White (NHW) women. Analysis of genetic similarity revealed results consistent with self-reported race and ethnicity. For CVD risk, NHB women were more likely to develop heart failure and cardiomyopathy than NHW women. In contrast, Hispanic women were at lower risk of any incident CVD, serious CVD, arrhythmia, heart failure or cardiomyopathy, and ischemic heart disease, which was consistent with the associations found with Native American ancestry. Conclusions: This is the largest multi-ethnic study of disparities in CVD health in breast cancer survivors, demonstrating corroborating findings between self-reported race and ethnicity and genetic similarity. The results highlight disparities in cardiometabolic risk factors and CVD among breast cancer survivors that warrant more research and clinical attention in these distinct, high-risk populations.

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Association between chronotype and dual-task gait cost across distinct cognitive domains in healthy young adults

Dalbah, J.; Kim, M.; Al-Sharman, A. J. A.

2026-04-21 neuroscience 10.64898/2026.04.16.719112 medRxiv
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Chronotype reflects individual circadian preference for timing of sleep, wakefulness, and peak performance and has been linked to variability in prefrontal cognitive function across the day. Whether chronotype independently relates to dual-task gait cost (DTC) and whether this relationship differs by cognitive task domain is unclear. Sixty-nine healthy young adults (37 female; mean age 21.3 years) completed the Morningness-Eveningness Questionnaire (MEQ). Spatiotemporal gait parameters were recorded with three-dimensional motion capture during single-task walking and three dual-task conditions: backward word spelling (5LWB; phonological), serial subtraction by seven (SS7; arithmetic), and reverse month recitation (RMR; sequential). DTC was calculated for eight gait parameters. Condition differences were assessed with nonparametric tests and post-hoc comparisons. Multiple linear regression, adjusting for age, sex, BMI, and baseline gait velocity, tested the independent association between MEQ score and mean velocity DTC; exploratory Spearman correlations examined other parameters. SS7 produced the largest mean velocity DTC (-12.76%), significantly greater than 5LWB (-7.95%; p = 0.002) and RMR (-9.57%; p = 0.021). MEQ score independently predicted mean velocity DTC in 5LWB ({beta} = -0.51, p < 0.001, R{superscript 2} = 0.269) and RMR ({beta} = -0.55, p = 0.004, R{superscript 2} = 0.222), indicating greater morningness associated with better gait-speed preservation under cognitive load; the SS7 association was not significant ({beta} = -0.33, p = 0.071). Exploratory correlations showed MEQ-DTC associations across 7/8 parameters in 5LWB, 4/8 in RMR, and 3/8 in SS7. Chronotype is independently associated with dual-task gait cost in a task-domain-specific manner, with stronger effects for phonological and sequential tasks than for arithmetic processing. The SS7 condition yielded the largest interference but weakest chronotype modulation, suggesting arithmetic dual-task disruption may be less sensitive to circadian arousal. Fixed testing time and cross-sectional design warrant within-subject, multi-timepoint studies to confirm chronotype effects separate from time-of-day confounds.

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Sexual Function and Clitoral Anatomy after Vaginal Surgery with and without Midurethral Sling

Bowen, S. T.; Moalli, P. A.; Rogers, R. G.; Corton, M. M.; Andy, U. U.; Rardin, C. R.; Hahn, M. E.; Weidner, A. C.; Ellington, D. R.; Mazloomdoost, D.; Sridhar, A.; Gantz, M. G.

2026-04-21 obstetrics and gynecology 10.64898/2026.04.20.26351291 medRxiv
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STRUCTURED ABSTRACTO_ST_ABSImportanceC_ST_ABSSexual dysfunction can occur after midurethral sling (MUS) and transvaginal prolapse surgery. It remains unclear whether these procedures impact the clitoris, despite its role in sexual function and proximity to the MUS and vagina. ObjectivesTo compare postoperative sexual function and clitoral features by MUS and vaginal surgery approach after transvaginal prolapse repair with/without concomitant MUS. DesignCross-sectional ancillary study of magnetic resonance imaging (MRI) and sexual function data from the Defining Mechanisms of Anterior Vaginal Wall Descent study. SettingEight clinical sites in the US Pelvic Floor Disorders Network. Participants: 88 women with uterovaginal prolapse who underwent vaginal mesh hysteropexy or vaginal hysterectomy with uterosacral ligament suspension with/without MUS between 2013-2015. Data were analyzed between September 2021-June 2023. ExposuresBetween June 2014-May 2018, participants underwent pelvic MRI 30-42 months after surgery, or earlier if reoperation was desired. Sexual activity and function at baseline and 24-48-month follow-up were evaluated using the Pelvic Organ Prolapse/Incontinence Sexual Questionnaire, IUGA-Revised (PISQ-IR). Clitoral features were obtained from postoperative MRI-based 3-dimensional models. Main Outcomes and MeasuresPISQ-IR scores and clitoral features (size, position). ResultsEighty-two women (median [range] age, 65 [47-79] years) were analyzed: 45 MUS (22 hysteropexy, 23 hysterectomy) and 37 No-MUS (19 hysteropexy, 18 hysterectomy). Postoperatively, 25 MUS, 12 No-MUS, 20 hysteropexy, and 17 hysterectomy patients were sexually active (SA). Overall, within the MUS and vaginal surgery groups, sexual function remained unchanged or improved (most PISQ-IR change from baseline scores were [&ge;]0) among SA and NSA women. Among SA women after surgery, the MUS group (vs No-MUS) had a poorer PISQ-IR arousal/orgasm (SA-AO) score (median, 3.5 vs 4.3; P=.02). The hysteropexy group (vs hysterectomy) had less improvement in PISQ-IR SA-AO score (median, 0.0 vs 0.3; P=.01). Women with MUS (vs without) had a smaller clitoral glans thickness (median, 9.0 mm vs 10.0 mm; P=.008) and clitoral body volume (median, 2783.5 mm3 vs 3587.4 mm3; P=.01). Conclusions and RelevanceSA women with MUS (vs without) or hysteropexy (vs hysterectomy) experienced poorer postoperative sexual function. MUS was linked to a smaller clitoris. Future studies should explore surgery-induced changes in clitoral anatomy and sexual function. KEY POINTSO_ST_ABSQuestionC_ST_ABSHow do sexual function and clitoral anatomy differ by midurethral sling placement and vaginal surgery approach? FindingsThis cross-sectional study compared patient-reported sexual function outcomes and 30-42-month postoperative magnetic resonance imaging-based 3-dimensional clitoral models of 82 women after vaginal prolapse surgery with or without concomitant midurethral sling. Midurethral sling (vs no sling) and vaginal mesh hysteropexy (vs vaginal hysterectomy) were associated with poorer postoperative sexual function outcomes. Additionally, midurethral sling was associated with a smaller clitoral glans and body. MeaningMidurethral sling and vaginal mesh hysteropexy were associated with, and may adversely alter, postoperative sexual function and/or clitoral anatomy. VISUAL ABSTRACT/PROMOTIONAL IMAGE O_FIG O_LINKSMALLFIG WIDTH=200 HEIGHT=113 SRC="FIGDIR/small/26351291v1_ufig1.gif" ALT="Figure 1"> View larger version (33K): org.highwire.dtl.DTLVardef@904497org.highwire.dtl.DTLVardef@187514aorg.highwire.dtl.DTLVardef@e9e799org.highwire.dtl.DTLVardef@640f1a_HPS_FORMAT_FIGEXP M_FIG C_FIG

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Therapeutic knockdown of MLKL reduces diet-induced obesity and improves insulin signalling in mature adipocytes

Sato, M.; Li, X.; Xu, H.; Alammar, A. M.; Fernando, S. C.; Anari, M. A.; Patel, K.; Dhakal, K.; Niogret, S.; Wang, Y.; Rahman, T.; Chen, Y.-C.; Nicholls, S. J.; Drew, B. G.; Murphy, J. M.; Karunakaran, D.

2026-04-21 physiology 10.64898/2026.04.17.719119 medRxiv
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Obesity affects one in three adults and is complicated by adipose inflammation, lipotoxicity and cell death. We previously identified RIPK1 as a genetic determinant of human obesity risk and adipose inflammation. Because RIPK1 is the apical kinase in the necroptosis pathway upstream of RIPK3 and the executioner protein MLKL, and emerging evidence links MLKL to lipid metabolism, MLKL has surfaced as a potential metabolic regulator. However, conflicting findings in Mlkl knockout mice fed a high fat diet have left its therapeutic relevance unresolved. MLKL has not been previously targeted through therapeutic knockdown in vivo in the context of diet-induced obesity. Here, we evaluated two independent MLKL antisense oligonucleotides (ASOs) in high fat diet (HFD)-fed C57BL/6J mice. In a 24-week progression model, MLKL ASO markedly reduced body weight, fat mass and hepatic steatosis compared with controls, while preserving lean mass. MLKL knockdown also lowered the respiratory exchange ratio, indicating a shift toward increased fat oxidation. In the intervention model, once obesity was established after 12 weeks of HFD feeding, both MLKL ASOs, and similarly, two independent RIPK1 ASOs, reversed weight gain and improved systemic glucose control. In vitro, MLKL-CRISPR/Cas9 knockout blocked 3T3-L1 adipogenesis, indicating a requirement for MLKL during adipocyte differentiation. However, in mature adipocytes, MLKL siRNA reduced palmitic acid-induced lipid accumulation, increased isoprenaline-stimulated lipolysis, and prevented TNF-mediated suppression of insulin-mediated AKT signalling and glucose uptake. Collectively, these findings demonstrate that partial MLKL suppression reprograms whole-body energy metabolism, enhances insulin sensitivity and limits diet-induced adiposity. MLKL, therefore, represents a promising and mechanistically novel therapeutic target for obesity and insulin resistance.